Which Republican will withdraw first from the primary in 2024?
Welcome to FiveThirtyEight’s politics chat. The transcript below is lightly edited.
nrakich Nathaniel Rakich is a senior election analyst. It’s not too early to think about which candidates might drop out of the 2024 Republican presidential primary soon. The first major Democratic presidential candidate to withdraw from the 2020 race (Rep. Eric Swalwell), did so on 7th July 2019. In 2012 the first major Republican (former Minnesota governor) to withdraw was Tim Pawlenty. Tim Pawlenty dropped out on August 14, 2011 This year, which candidate could (un)lucky be the first (ex-?)candidate?
Today, we’re holding FiveThirtyEight’s first 2024 Dropout Draft to answer that question! Each player will select the candidate they believe will be the first to drop out in 2024 and…
