NOAA (the US weather service) has released their forecast for the 2023 Atlantic season. They predict a 40% chance that the season will be near normal in terms of tropical activity in the Atlantic basin.
NOAA also says that the chances of the 2023 Atlantic Hurricane Season being above or below normal is equal to 30%.
NOAA’s hurricane forecast for the 2023 season calls for between 12 and 17 named tropical storms, with from 5 to 9 of those becoming hurricanes.
It is also expected that between 1 and 4 hurricanes will reach wind speeds of major category 3 or greater.
The forecast is not that different to the others that we track here at Artemis and adding NOAA’s numbers to our data gives an average forecast for 13 named tropical storms, 6 hurricanes and 2 major hurricanes in the 2023 season.
A high Atlantic sea surface temperature is causing uncertainty in the forecasts for the Atlantic season.
Some hurricane forecasts indicate that the risk of a major hurricane along the US East Coast, including Florida, will be elevated in 2023.
BMS Senior Meteorologist Andrew Siffert also noted that…